August 2019

A scazut productia cu 2 milioane tone in Turcia. Pentru UE, Kazakhstan si Rusia de asemenea a scazut estimarea cu 1.3, 1.0 respectiv 1.2 milioane. Aceste reduceri sunt bazate pe datele la recoltare până in prezent. Si in Moldova ar urma sa scada productia cu 0.2 milioane tone. Doar in Argentina si Ucraina a crescut cu 0.5 si respectiv 0.2 milioane.

Exporturile au scazut in Kazakhstan, UE, si Rusia. In schimb se estimeaza ca vor creste in SUA Argentina si Ucraina.

Pentru 2019/20 se estimează o scădere a consumului global (furaj, alimentatie, uz industrial etc). Dar din cazua că scăderea producției e mai mare decât scăderea consumului, stocurile finale ar urma sa fie si ele mai mici in 2019/20 (cu 1.1 milioane tone mai mic aprox.). Totusi raman la nivel record, chiar si asa.

July 2019

  • Ukraine corn production is raised, reflecting increased area.
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  • In season 2019/20, the wheat supplies outside U.S. are decreased 10.5 million tons primarily on lower production in several major exporting countries.The production declines are led by a 3.8-million-ton reduction for Russia due to extremely high temperatures and below-average precipitation in June during winter wheat grain fill.
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  • Sunflowerseed production is projected lower for Russia.

  • Rapeseed production is reduced for the EU, Australia, and Canada. Hot, dry weather during June has reduced yield prospects for the EU. Production is reduced for both Australia and Canada on lower harvested area.

  • Global oilseed production is projected at 586.0 million tons, down 11.7 million mostly on lower soybean production for the United States.
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  • Barley production is raised for Canada but lowered for Ukraine and India.

June 2019

  • Argentina corn production is raised on increased area with higher prices.
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  • World 2019/20 wheat supplies are raised 4.9 million tons on a 1.6-million-ton increase in beginning stocks and a 3.3-million-ton increase in global production.
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  • The 2019/20 global soybean supply and use projections include lower production and stocks compared to last month.
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  • Barley production is lowered for the EU reflecting a reduction for Spain.

May 2019

  • World corn production is forecast record high, with the largest increases for the United States, South Africa, Russia, Canada, India, and Brazil.  Partly offsetting are smaller crops projected for China and Ukraine. 
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  • The initial outlook for 2019/20 international wheat is for larger supplies, increased trade, greater consumption, and higher ending stocks. 
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  • Global production of high-oil content seeds (rapeseed and sunflowerseed) is projected up 1 percent from 2018/19 on increased rapeseed production for Australia and Ukraine, which is partly offset by lower production for the EU and India. 
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  • Global production of high-oil content seeds (rapeseed and sunflowerseed) is projected up 1 percent from 2018/19 on increased rapeseed production for Australia and Ukraine, which is partly offset by lower production for the EU and India.

  • Global oilseed production for 2019/20 is projected at 598.0 million tons, down 2.9 million from 2018/19. 
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April 2019

  • The global coarse grain production forecast for 2018/19 is up 5.3 million tons to 1,377.2 million.
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  • World 2018/19 wheat supplies are raised 2.1 million tons due mainly to increased beginning stocks that largely reflect multi-year revisions for Iran
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  • Global oilseed exports are reduced 1.0 million tons to 177.1 million mainly on lower rapeseed trade between Canada and China.
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  • Global oilseed ending stocks are raised 1.5 million tons to 123.2 million, largely due to higher soybean stocks for Brazil and rapeseed stocks for Canada.

February 2019

  • Corn production in 2018/19 is forecast higher for Argentina, China, and Ukraine more than offsetting reductions for South Africa and Mexico.
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  • World production for the 2018/19 market year is raised 1.3 million tons, led by a 1.6-million-ton increase for Russia, a 0.6-million-ton increase for Brazil, and a 0.5-million-ton increase for Paraguay. These changes are partly offset by a 1.1 million ton decrease for China and a 0.3-million-ton decrease for Argentina. All these production changes reflect updated government statistics and harvest results.
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  • The 2018/19 global soybean outlook includes lower production, exports, crush, and stocks. Global soybean production is lowered 8.2 million tons to 361.0 million with lower crops for Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, and South Africa.
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  • China’s barley imports are reduced, while barley exports are lowered for Australia. 

January 2019

No report was released in January 2019 due to US Government shutdown.

December 2018

  • Total oilseed production is estimated to 600.5 milion tons, with an increase of 0.9 milion tons.

November 2018

  • Production, domestic consumption, and ending stocks of corn for China are revised beginning with the 2007/08 marketing year. For the time period encompassing the 2007/08 to 2017/18 marketing years, NBS increased corn total production by an unprecedented 266 million metric tons.
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  • Global 2018/19 wheat supplies are raised 6.7 million tons on both increased production and beginning stocks. The vast majority of this change stems from the updated production data released by China’s NBS (National Bureau of Statistics), which made significant production changes from 2007/08 through 2017/18.
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  • Global oilseed stocks are up 2.4 million tons to 126.2 million mainly on higher stocks of soybeans and sunflowerseed.

  • Global rapeseed production was reduced based on historical revisions issued by China’s NBS.

  • Global soybean production is reduced 2.0 million tons with lower production for the United States and Argentina partly offset by increases for China, India, and Ukraine.
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  • Barley imports are raised for Saudi Arabia, with higher exports projected for Russia and Ukraine.

October 2018

  • Corn production is increased for Egypt, Mali, Kenya, Canada, the EU, and Serbia. These increases are partly offset by reductions for Russia and Malawi.
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  • Global 2018/19 wheat supplies are reduced, primarily on lower production forecasts for Australia and Russia.
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  • Global soybean output is projected at a record 369.5 million tons, up 0.2 million with higher production for Canada partly offset by lower projections for India, the United States, and Mexico.
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September - 2018

  • Foreign corn production is forecast higher than last month with projected increases for the EU, Angola, Paraguay, Turkey, and Serbia more than offsetting declines for Canada, South Africa, and Guatemala. 
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  • Global wheat supplies for 2018/19 are raised 4.7 million tons on a 3.4-million-ton production increase and higher beginning stocks. 
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  • Soybean production is increased 2.2 million tons, with larger crops for the United States and China that are partly offset by lower projections for Canada, India, and Uruguay.
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  • World barley production is lowered, with reductions for the EU, Australia, and Ukraine more than offsetting increases for Kazakhstan and Russia.

August 2018

  • EU corn production is lowered, mostly reflecting reductions for France and Germany that are partially offset by increases for Romania and Bulgaria.
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  • World 2018/19 wheat supplies are reduced this month by 7.1 million tons, primarily on lower EU production. Continued drought conditions in several northern European countries, most notably Germany, resulted in lower production, down 7.5 million tons to 137.5 million. This would be the lowest EU wheat production since 2012/13.
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  • Sunflowerseed production is higher for the EU, benefitting from favorable weather conditions in southern and southeastern Europe.
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  • Hot, dry weather in northern Europe resulted in a 1-million-ton reduction to EU rapeseed production.
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  • Global oilseed exports for 2018/19 are projected at 182.5 million tons, up 1.2 million with higher soybean exports for the United States and higher rapeseed exports for Ukraine.
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  • Barley production is lowered for the EU, but raised for Ukraine.

July 2018

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  • Sunflowerseed production is down 2.9 million tons mainly for Russia and Ukraine on lower yields from dry conditions.  

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  • Barley production is reduced for Russia, Australia, and the EU, but raised for Canada.

June 2018

  • Russia corn production is down based on government data indicating lower-than-expected planted area. (...)

  • World 2018/19 wheat supplies decreased this month by 1.2 million tons on production declines in Russia, the EU, and Mexico not completely offset by higher projected production from India and the United States. (...)

  • EU rapeseed production is reduced on lower yields for Germany and Poland..

  • Soybean production is up 0.7 million tons to 355.2 million mainly on higher production for Brazil. With higher production, soybean exports for Brazil are revised up for both the 2017/18 and 2018/19 marketing years. (...)

  • Barley production is reduced for Ukraine, India, and the EU, but raised for Argentina.

May 2018

  • Corn production is forecast up from a year ago, with the largest increases for China, Brazil, Argentina, Ukraine, and Russia. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies for 2018/19 are projected to increase fractionally as higher beginning stocks are partially offset by a production decline following last year’s record. (...)

  • Global soybean production is projected up 17.8 million tons to 354.5 million mostly due to recovery from drought in Argentina. (...)

April 2018

  • Argentina corn production is down based on reductions to both harvested area and yield. Yield results have been below expectations. (...)

  • World 2017/18 wheat supplies increased this month by nearly 3.0 million tons as production is raised to a new record of 759.8 million, mainly on Morocco’s higher production estimate as it recovered from a severe drought in 2016/17. (...)

  • Global sunflowerseed production is projected slightly higher. (...)

  • Global rapseed production is projected slightly higher. (...)

  • Global soybean production is estimated 6.1-million-ton lower. Lower soybean production for Argentina, India, and Uruguay is partly offset by higher production for Brazil. (...)

  • For 2017/18, Belarus barley production is estimated lower.

March 2018

  • Brazil corn production is down based on expectations of a more modest increase in second-crop corn area. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies increased 0.5 million tons, primarily on a higher production forecast for Kazakhstan. (...)

  • Sunflower seed production is projected higher for China and Kazakhstan and lower for Russia.

  • Global rapeseed production is projected at 73.9 million tons, up 0.9 million with larger crops for China and Australia partly offset with a smaller crop projected for India.

  • Argentina soybean production is forecast at 47.0 million tons, down 7.0 million from last month mainly due to lower projected yields resulting from dry conditions through much of the growing region in January and February. (...)

  • Barley imports are raised for China. (...)

February 2018

  • Global corn production is lowered 2.8 million tons largely reflecting reductions for Argentina and Ukraine. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies are increased, primarily on higher production forecasts for Argentina and Ukraine. (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production is reduced for South Africa.

  • Soybean production is reduced 1.7 million tons to 346.9 million. (...)

  • Barley production is raised for Argentina.

January 2018

  • Major global trade changes for 2017/18 include lower corn exports for Russia, partially offset by an increase for Thailand. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies for 2017/18 are lowered 0.8 million tons on reduced beginning stocks, more than offsetting increased production. (...)

  • The sunflowerseed production was lowered for Argentina and EU.

  • This month's report includes higher rapeseed production for Ukraine.

  • Soybean production is raised 0.1 million tons to 348.6 million on gains for Brazil and the EU that are partly offset by lower production for Argentina and the United States. (...)

  • Barley production is down as a reduction for Russia more than offsets an increase for Argentina.

Decembrie 2017

  • Proviziile de grâu, globale pe sezonul 2017/2018 sunt estimate în creștere în principal din cauza prognozelor de producție crescută pentru Canada și Uniunea Europeană (estimate să acopere declinul de producție prognozat pentru Brazilia, Africa de Sud și Yemen).
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November 2017

  • Corn exports are lowered for Ukraine but raised for the United States. Imports are raised for Mexico and Canada, but lowered for South Korea. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies are down fractionally with decreased beginning stocks but increased production. (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production is lower for Ukraine, Argentina, and South Africa.

  • Soybean production for Brazil is increased 1 million tons to 108 million on higher reported area for Parana and Rio Grande do Sul. (...)

  • China’s barley imports are raised reflecting expectations of continued demand for imported feedstuffs.

October 2017

  • Corn production is forecast higher, with the largest reductions for Russia, Ukraine, Ethiopia, and Tanzania more than offset by increases for a number of countries including Nigeria, Turkey, and Mozambique. The projected corn yields for Russia and Ukraine are reduced based on reported harvest results to date. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies are increased, primarily on higher production forecasts for Russia, EU, and India more than offsetting a decline in Australia. (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production is lower for Russia and Ukraine on lower yields.

  • Rapeseed production is lowered for Australia where yields are impacted by below-normal rainfall.

  • Global soybean production is projected down 0.6 million tons to 347.9 million on lower forecasts for Russia and Ukraine. Higher production for China and Mexico is partly offsetting. (...)

September - 2017

  • Global coarse grain production for 2017/18 is forecast up 2.4 million tons to 1,316.5 million.
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  • Global wheat supplies for 2017/18 are lowered as a 1.7-million-ton production increase is offset by a 2.7-million-ton decrease in beginning stocks.
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  • The 2017/18 foreign oilseed production is projected at 445.8 million tons, nearly unchanged from last month.
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  • Canola production is reduced for Canada on lower reported area and cottonseed is raised for India based on the latest government planting data.
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  • Barley production is raised for Russia and Canada, but lowered for Argentina and the EU.

August 2017

  • EU corn production is reduced. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies increased significantly, primarily on an 8.6-million-ton production increase in the Former Soviet Union (FSU). (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production for Russia is increased.

  • Rapeseed production is increased for the EU.

  • Global oilseed production for 2017/18 is projected at 576.7 million tons, up 2.8 million, mainly on a 2.3-million-ton increase for soybean production. (...)

  • EU barley production is reduced. (...)

July 2017

  • EU corn production is down reflecting a lower projection for Spain, where heat and dryness during grain fill hurt yield prospects. (...)

  • Global 2017/18 wheat supplies are decreased fractionally on lower production forecasts for the U.S., Australia, China, and the EU, which are partially offset by higher production expected for Russia and Turkey. (...)

  • Ukraine sunflowerseed harvested area is raised in line with revisions for 2016/17, resulting in a higher production forecast.

  • Lower rapeseed production is forecast for Australia.

  • Soybean production is raised for China due to increased harvested area. (...)

  • Major global trade changes for 2017/18 include lower barley exports for Argentina. (...)

June 2017

  • EU corn production is down based on government data indicating lower-than-expected area in France and Germany. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies for 2017/18 are raised 2.8 million tons, primarily on higher forecast wheat production for Russia, which is up 2.0 million tons to 69.0 million. (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production is raised for Ukraine on higher planted area based on reported planting progress to date.

  • EU rapeseed production is down mainly on lower projected yields in Germany where crops experienced dry and sub-freezing conditions through key flowering stages.

  • For 2016/17 soybean production is raised in Brazil and Argentina. (...)

  • Turkey’s barley production is raised as the impact of April dryness was not as severe as previously anticipated.

May 2017

  • Corn production is forecast down from a year ago, with the largest declines in China and the United States. Partly offsetting are larger crops projected for the EU and Canada. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies are projected to decline as higher beginning stocks are more than offset by a production decline following last year’s record. (...)

  • Rapeseed production is projected to increase 6 percent, with increases for Canada, the EU, Ukraine, and India.

  • Soybean production is projected down 3.4 million tons to 344.7 million mainly on declines from last year’s records for the United States, Brazil, and Paraguay. Conversely, soybean production is forecast up for Canada, China, Bolivia, and Ukraine. (...)

April 2017

  • Brazil corn production is raised primarily on larger projected second crop area. The latest government data indicate a higher-than-expected expansion of area in both the Center-West and North. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies are raised 1.7 million tons due to higher projected beginning stocks and a 0.3-million-ton increase in production. The change to beginning stocks stems from a 1.4-million-ton reduction in 2015/16 domestic consumption, primarily in the EU. (...)

  • The 2016/17 global oilseed supply and demand forecasts show higher production, exports, crush, and ending stocks compared to last month. (...)

March 2017

  • This month’s 2016/17 U.S. corn outlook is for increased corn used to produce ethanol and reduced feed and residual use. (...)

  • Global production increased 2.8 million tons to 751.1 million, mainly due to larger crops in Argentina and Australia more than offsetting a slight reduction in the European Union. (...)

  • U.S. soybean supply and use changes for 2016/17 include higher crush, lower exports, and increased ending stocks compared with last month’s report. (...)

February 2017

  • This month’s foreign coarse grain outlook is for increased production, consumption, and trade relative to last month. (...)

  • Global wheat supplies are lowered 4.2 million tons primarily due to sharp reductions in the India and Kazakhstan crops. (...)

  • The 2016/17 global oilseeds supply and demand estimates include lower production and ending stocks compared to last month.
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January 2017

  • Serbia corn production is raised reflecting the latest information from the Foreign Agricultural Service office in Belgrade. Partly offsetting is lower corn production for Bolivia where the impact of a severe drought during the growing season was worse than previously expected. (...)

  • Global exports are raised 1.2 million tons led by increases for Argentina, Australia, and the EU. Partly offsetting is a reduction in Canadian exports reflecting the slow shipment pace so far this year. (...)

December 2016

  • No changes are made to this month’s 2016/17 U.S. corn supply and use projections. Forecast U.S. corn exports are unchanged this month, despite a sales and shipment pace that is well above a year ago. (...)

  • The U.S. 2016/17 all wheat supply and demand estimates are unchanged from November. (...)

  • Sunflowerseed production is raised 0.6 million tons to 44.3 million on increased production in Russia and South Africa.

November 2016

  • This month’s 2016/17 U.S. corn outlook is for larger production, increased food, seed and industrial (FSI) use and slightly higher prices. (...)

  • Projected 2016/17 U.S. ending stocks are raised 5 million bushels to 1,143 million on a reduction in food use. (...)